All Things Footie: Owen | Pre-season predictions

All Things Footie | Friday, August 13 | Jordan

Owen | Pre-season predictions

News

As part of the ongoing overhaul of all things footie you may have noticed that at the bottom of the page you now get a list of the ten most recent articles, we hope it comes in useful. The rants section is also getting a slight re-jig, primarily because we have a new writer on board, the enigmatic Bill Urban talks about Michael Owen:

Owen: a Golden Boy no more

Two contradictory images of club icons from the Champions League qualifier between Liverpool and Graz AK painted a clear picture of the Rafael Benitez revolution at Anfield.

Michael Owen, rumored Real Madrid transfer target, sat on the bench with his hands folded, bent forward comfortably over his knees, whilst Steven Gerrard, the man who turned down a move to Chelsea to stay at Liverpool, raced about the pitch until his lungs screamed at him to stop, finishing the match drenched in sweat, having dominated Graz and all but ensured Liverpool’s qualification for the Champions League proper.

Read on …

And now, as promised, my annual pre-season predictions:

Retrospective

Looking back at last year’s predictions, I see some hits, and some misses. The most notable being my predicting a Wayne Rooney inspired Everton to romp to 6th place, when in fact they only just avoided relegation. We’ll forget about that one shall we? Along with my prediction of Bolton’s relegation, when they stormed home to a comfortable 8th position. My bold prediction of Leeds to go down came true—along with my equally bold prediction that Portsmouth would retain their Premiership status—though my somewhat bolder prediction of Wolves to stay up (at the expence of Bolton Wanderers) was, in hindsight, foolish from the ouset. I’ll take no kudos from my prediction of Leicester’s demise. Spurs outdid themselves, finishing four places lower than their usual tenth, and Southapton failed to respond to their FA Cup Final place with sufficient aplomb and finished a full five places lower than the 7th I predicted.

There were successes though, I got Blackburn spot on in 15th, Liverpool and Newcastle in 4th/5th, Middlesbrough spot on in 11th, and Villa/Charlton’s 6th/7th weren’t a million miles away from my predicted 8th/9th places. I got Chelsea and Manchester United the wrong way around (again), but it’s hardly difficult to predict the top three placed teams is it? My greatest shame lies in failing to predict the unbeaten season for Arsenal—I should have know really. In summary:

I overestimated: Manchester United, Everton (considerably!), Southampton, Tottenham, Manchester City, Wolves, Leeds United. I underestimated: Chelsea, Aston villa, Charlton, Bolton (considerably!), Fulham, Birmingham, Portsmouth, Wolverhapton Wanderers. And of course, everyone underestimated Arsenal.

I didn’t fare too well on the player predictions either. Lets all have a guess who I said this about:

“I think Steve Bruce has found an absolute diamond here … he’ll get 25/30 goals this season, you mark my words.”

Luciano Figueroa, you let me down big time. I even predicted that he would settle easier than most South Americans because he brought his whole family with him—so much for that idea.

I consider myself unlucky with Joleon Lescott. I did introduce a caveat into that prediction though, with the crucial phrase “providing he recovers from his knee surgery and stays free of injury”. Well, he might have! I similarly injury struck prediction was that of Arsenal’s Swiss International Phillipe Sendoros, who spent almost all season sidelined. Few Portsmouth fans would argue that Patrik Berger wasn’t crucial to their staying up, so I’m reasonably happy with that one, though predicting Ayegbeni Yakubu’s rise would have been better. The less said about Tony Hibbert the better.

Looking forward

I’ve already spoken about the big teams: I think Chelsea have bought well, but will not have the consistency or team spirit you need to win the league; I think United have the most fragile squad of the top sides, and lack the real depth that Championships need; particularly in midfield; I think Arsenal have bought cleverly, and Patrick Vieira or no Patrick Vieira, have two players for every position, most of whom know each other’s games inside out. They have the most experience, arguably the most talent, and the best chance of taking the Premiership title.

I think Liverpool have also bought well, particularly if the manage to acquire Xabi Alonso, and if they manage to offload Michael Owen for substatial cash, the biggest losers will be Real Madrid—who’ll be getting a player who wouldn’t hack it in La Liga if he had 20 years to aclimatise. Benitez is a canny coach, and he may just coax some good performances out of Liverpool, provided their strikers remain fit and on form. Newcastle have good players, but not a good team; Kluivert was a wonderful player, but I suspect after a bright start, he’ll fade into Premiership obscurity. David O’Leary has done a stirling job at Aston Villa, and once again bought very well this summer, I fully expect Villa to establish themselves as a top-six side this season.

At the other end of the table, West Bromwich Albion have bought well and may just avoid relegation; Everton have bought like a side expecting to go down, and I fear boardroom wrangles will see one of the top division’s oldest members drop out like a stone through a wet paper bag. Crystal Palace have an excellent manager, a supportive board, and a settled team; I’d really like to see them stay up, but I fear for any team that relies on battle and tenacity. There’s not quite enough spark in the squad to keep them comfortable, and I suspect they won’t know their fate until very late on in the season. Norwich City will surprise everyone by staying up—they’ve bought well, have great support and have some genuine class in their team.

The rest: Steve McLaren’s ridiculous transfer policy will see another unsettled squad of lazy gits and time-wasters finish mid-table—again—with the Worthington Cup once more their only hope. Bolton will do OK, but certainly not better their 8th place from last year. Man City will be typical City, and if they lose Shaun Wright-Phillips to Liverpool (or any other team), worse than regular Man City; first managerial casualty of the season will be Kevin Keegan. I predict Chris Coleman’s Fulham will do well again, he’s been very intelligent in the transfer market, signing exactly the players they need, and I can see Radzinski/Cole striking up a prolific partnership. Fulham are very lucky to have Coleman, and the board deserve the respect and support of the Craven Cottage crowds for having the courage to appoint him manager, and show such faith in his methods. Alan Curbishley’s Charlton will do well again, and may sneak that extra place or two up the ladder towards Europe. With the exception of Heskey, Steve Bruce’s Birmingham have been shrewd in the transfer market, and I don’t see them slipping down the table any time soon.

Players

Keep an eye out for:

José Antonio Reyes (Arsenal) · The 2004/05 Premiership top scorer, he will simultaneously take the pressure off Thierry Henry, while heaping it on him at the same time.
David Bentley (Norwich Ciry) · Given a chance at first team football, I fully expect Bentley to drag Norwich out of the relegation places and leave them at the end of the season with a resounding pat on the back for a job well done. With the exception of Wayne Rooney, probably the most naturally gifted technical player England have. The new Paul Scholes.
Mateja Kezman (Chelsea) · £20m cheaper than Didier Drogba, and ten times better. Kezman has talent, experience and self-confidence. He’ll cement his place in Chelsea’s line up and be the man they look to for inspiration in the darkest moments. He relishes the little games as well as the big—and there won’t be many players like that in Chelsea’s line-up.
Dennis Rommedahl and Bryan Hughes (Charlton) · Fast as a whippet and twice as sneaky, Rommedahl will run the show for Charlton out wide, while Bryan Hughes orchestrates from the middle. Hughes is a criminally underrated player, and may find himself able to blossom in Alan Curbishley’s more adventurous line up—he always looked stifled for Steve Bruce’s Birmingham.
Julian Gray (Birmingham) · If Palace had managed to hold on to Gray, I would be far surer of their ability to stay in the Premiership. He’s a fine player, and will be instrumental in giving Birmingham some class on the flank, as opposed to the particular brand of workman-like class that Stan Lazaridis has given them over the last few years.

Denoument

Arsenal
Chelsea
Liverpool
Manchester United
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
Charlton Athletic
Fulham
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough
Bolton Wanderers
Southampton
Portsmouth
Blackburn
Tottenham Hotspur
Norwich City
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Bromwich Albion

So there you go. Roll on tomorrow, and roll on The Premiership 2004/05!

(21) Comment(s) | Permanent link to this article

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